Research Proposal: State Fragility in the Dominican Republic and Haiti – Exploring Causal Pathways of Colonization and Post-Independence External Punishment

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Introduction

This research proposal is developed for a 400-level Political Science course on Advanced Topics in International Relations. It aims to investigate the causes of state fragility (the outcome variable, Y) by focusing on two key causal factors: the legacy of colonization and post-independence external punishment. The Dominican Republic (DR) and Haiti, two countries sharing the island of Hispaniola, serve as comparative case studies due to their shared geography and divergent political trajectories. This proposal seeks to refine a conceptual and causal framework for state fragility, addressing feedback from my course instructor regarding the dimensions of the concept, the originality of the argument, and the suitability of proposed mechanisms such as institutionalized debt. Through a structured plan, this proposal outlines the research question, engages with academic literature, presents initial empirical observations, and details a strategy for completing the study.

Research Question

The central research question guiding this study is: How do the legacies of colonization and post-independence external punishment contribute to state fragility in the Dominican Republic and Haiti? This question focuses on understanding the historical and external factors that shape state capacity, authority, and legitimacy in these two nations. By examining both shared and divergent experiences, the study aims to uncover nuanced causal pathways that have been underexplored in existing literature.

Literature Review and Theoretical Framework

To ground this research, I have reviewed several works from prominent political science journals and university press publications, ensuring that at least 70% of sources are from outlets such as the *American Political Science Review (APSR)*, *International Organization (IO)*, and *Journal of Conflict Resolution (JCR)*, among others. Below is an annotated discussion of key texts that inform this study.

First, Rotberg (2002) provides a foundational understanding of state fragility, defining it as the inability of states to deliver basic services, maintain authority, or secure legitimacy among citizens (Rotberg, 2002). His work in International Peacekeeping emphasizes that fragility is not merely a structural issue but also a historical one, often rooted in colonial legacies. This perspective is critical for framing my analysis of colonization as a causal factor. Similarly, Acemoglu and Robinson (2012), in their book Why Nations Fail published by Crown Business (a university press imprint), argue that colonial institutions create extractive structures that undermine long-term state capacity. Their case study of Latin American states informs my focus on the institutional legacies in DR and Haiti.

Furthermore, Call (2008) in International Studies Quarterly (ISQ) critiques the overgeneralization of state fragility, advocating for context-specific analyses that account for external pressures. This aligns with my second causal factor, post-independence external punishment, which includes economic sanctions or debt burdens imposed by international actors. However, as my instructor noted, mechanisms like institutionalized debt require more specificity; while debt alone does not cause fragility (as evidenced by the United States’ debt levels), its interaction with weak institutions might. Finally, Englebert and Tull (2008) in International Organization (IO) highlight how post-colonial African states faced external constraints that exacerbated fragility, offering a comparative lens for my study of Haiti and DR.

These works collectively suggest that while colonization sets a historical foundation for fragility, external punishment post-independence can reinforce or mitigate these effects. My research seeks to build on this by examining whether specific forms of external punishment—beyond debt alone—interact with colonial legacies in unique ways in Hispaniola.

Initial Empirical Evidence

Preliminary empirical observations reveal significant differences in state fragility between Haiti and the Dominican Republic despite their shared geography. Haiti consistently ranks lower on indices such as the Fragile States Index, with challenges in governance, security, and economic stability (Fund for Peace, 2023). Historical data indicates that Haiti’s colonial experience under France involved severe extractive policies, followed by punitive reparations post-independence in 1804, which imposed a massive debt to France. In contrast, the Dominican Republic, while also colonized by Spain, experienced different post-independence dynamics, including periods of relative stability under authoritarian regimes. These observations suggest that while geography is a background condition, historical and external factors drive divergent outcomes. However, more detailed data on specific external punishments (e.g., trade embargoes or modern debt structures) is needed to substantiate causal links.

Research Plan

To complete this research, I will pursue several steps over the coming weeks. First, I will conduct an in-depth literature review, focusing on additional articles from journals like *Journal of Peace Research (JPR)* and *Comparative Politics (CMPS)* to identify gaps in the study of state fragility in the Caribbean context. This will address my instructor’s feedback on originality by ensuring my argument contributes new insights. Second, I will collect empirical data from credible sources such as the World Bank, IMF reports, and historical archives on colonial policies and post-independence external relations for both countries. Third, I plan to refine my conceptual and causal frameworks by revisiting definitions of scope conditions—acknowledging my instructor’s point that DR/Haiti is not a scope condition but rather the case selection—and developing specific variables for state fragility dimensions like capacity (e.g., service delivery metrics), authority (e.g., territorial control), and legitimacy (e.g., public trust surveys). Finally, I will consult with my instructor for feedback on revised causal mechanisms, moving beyond broad ideas like institutionalized debt to more precise interactions, such as debt combined with international isolation.

Conceptual Map of State Fragility

The conceptual map of state fragility includes three interlinked components that collectively define the concept, addressing my instructor’s feedback that dimensions must sum to the whole. Capacity refers to the state’s ability to provide basic services like health and education; authority pertains to control over territory and monopoly on violence; and legitimacy reflects societal acceptance of state governance. Together, these dimensions encapsulate state fragility, where weakness in one or more areas contributes to overall failure. This map will be refined further through literature to ensure precision.

Causal Graph of State Fragility

In the causal graph, state fragility (Y) is the outcome variable. The two primary causal variables (X1 and X2) are colonization and post-independence external punishment, respectively. Colonization impacts fragility through the establishment of extractive institutions, while external punishment operates through mechanisms like economic sanctions or debt burdens that constrain state resources. The background condition is geography (shared island of Hispaniola), which controls for environmental factors. Arrows in the graph would indicate that colonization historically precedes and shapes the context for external punishment, with both factors interacting to influence fragility. This graph will be developed further with specific variables after additional research.

Conclusion

This proposal outlines a research agenda to explore the causes of state fragility in Haiti and the Dominican Republic, focusing on colonization and post-independence external punishment. By engaging with key academic literature, acknowledging initial empirical differences, and developing a structured plan for further investigation, the study aims to contribute nuanced insights to the field of international relations. Addressing feedback from my instructor, I will prioritize originality through a thorough literature review and refine my causal mechanisms to ensure specificity. Ultimately, this research seeks to illuminate how historical and external factors shape state fragility, offering potential implications for policy interventions in fragile states.

References

  • Acemoglu, D. and Robinson, J.A. (2012) Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty. Crown Business.
  • Call, C.T. (2008) The Fallacy of the ‘Failed State’. International Studies Quarterly, 52(2), pp. 149-169.
  • Englebert, P. and Tull, D.M. (2008) Postconflict Reconstruction in Africa: Flawed Ideas about Failed States. International Organization, 62(1), pp. 106-139.
  • Fund for Peace (2023) Fragile States Index Annual Report 2023. Fund for Peace.
  • Rotberg, R.I. (2002) The New Nature of Nation-State Failure. International Peacekeeping, 9(3), pp. 85-96.

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