Introduction
This essay critically evaluates the relevance of Kenneth Waltz’s Levels of Analysis framework in understanding foreign policy decisions made by states. Proposed in his seminal work, Man, the State, and War (1959), Waltz’s framework divides the causes of international conflict into three levels: the individual, the state, and the international system. This structure provides a systematic approach to dissecting the complex motivations behind state actions in international relations. The essay will first outline Waltz’s framework, then assess its applicability and limitations in analysing foreign policy decisions, using relevant examples. Finally, it will conclude by reflecting on the framework’s enduring utility and potential shortcomings in contemporary contexts. The aim is to demonstrate a sound understanding of this analytical tool while critically engaging with its practical relevance.
Understanding Waltz’s Levels of Analysis
Waltz’s framework offers a triadic lens through which to examine the drivers of state behaviour in international affairs. The first level, the individual, focuses on the personal traits, decisions, and psychological factors of leaders. For instance, a leader’s ideology or temperament might shape foreign policy, as seen in the aggressive-expansionist policies of Adolf Hitler during the 1930s (Waltz, 1959). The second level, the state, considers domestic factors such as political structures, national culture, and internal pressures that influence decision-making. Finally, the third level, the international system, examines the anarchic nature of global politics, where states operate in a self-help environment shaped by power dynamics and structural constraints. Waltz argued that this systemic level often provides the most comprehensive explanation for state actions, as it captures the broader pressures of international anarchy (Waltz, 1959). This structured categorisation allows analysts to pinpoint whether foreign policy decisions stem from personal whims, domestic considerations, or external systemic forces.
Relevance of the Framework in Foreign Policy Analysis
Waltz’s framework remains relevant in dissecting foreign policy decisions by providing a clear methodological approach to untangle complex causality. For example, the United States’ decision to invade Iraq in 2003 can be examined through all three levels. At the individual level, President George W. Bush’s personal resolve and belief in spreading democracy arguably influenced the policy (Jervis, 2006). At the state level, domestic pressures, including public fear post-9/11 and the role of neoconservative advisors, shaped the decision. At the systemic level, the US sought to assert dominance in a unipolar world, countering perceived threats to its security and global influence (Mearsheimer, 2005). By applying Waltz’s framework, analysts can systematically evaluate how these factors interplayed, offering a nuanced understanding of the decision-making process. Furthermore, the framework’s emphasis on the systemic level often highlights structural imperatives, which might otherwise be overlooked in favour of individual or domestic explanations.
Limitations and Critiques
Despite its analytical utility, Waltz’s framework has limitations. Firstly, it risks oversimplification by compartmentalising causes into discrete levels, potentially ignoring the intricate interdependencies between them. For instance, individual leaders operate within state and systemic constraints, making it difficult to isolate a single level as the primary driver (Singer, 1961). Secondly, the framework’s emphasis on the systemic level, rooted in structural realism, may undervalue cultural, ideological, or non-state factors, such as transnational terrorism, which have grown in significance in contemporary international relations (Keohane, 1986). Indeed, in a globalised world, non-state actors and economic interdependence challenge the state-centric focus of Waltz’s theory. Therefore, while the framework provides a logical starting point, it may require adaptation to address modern complexities.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Kenneth Waltz’s Levels of Analysis framework retains significant relevance in analysing foreign policy decisions by offering a structured approach to understanding the multilayered influences on state behaviour. Its application to historical and contemporary cases, such as the Iraq War, demonstrates its capacity to disentangle individual, domestic, and systemic factors. However, its limitations, including potential oversimplification and a systemic bias, suggest it should be used alongside other theoretical perspectives to capture the full spectrum of influences in today’s interconnected world. Ultimately, while not exhaustive, Waltz’s framework provides a foundational tool for students and scholars of international relations to critically engage with the complexities of foreign policy, highlighting both its enduring value and areas for further refinement.
References
- Jervis, R. (2006) ‘Reports, Politics, and Intelligence Failures: The Case of Iraq’, Journal of Strategic Studies, 29(1), pp. 3-52.
- Keohane, R. O. (1986) Neorealism and Its Critics. New York: Columbia University Press.
- Mearsheimer, J. J. (2005) ‘Hans Morgenthau and the Iraq War: Realism versus Neo-Conservatism’, OpenDemocracy.
- Singer, J. D. (1961) ‘The Level-of-Analysis Problem in International Relations’, World Politics, 14(1), pp. 77-92.
- Waltz, K. N. (1959) Man, the State, and War: A Theoretical Analysis. New York: Columbia University Press.

